Bursting the Bubble


One of the hottest topics associated with online branding is how ICANN’s decision to allow for the registration of any new TLD could affect a brand’s online strategy. After all, in these difficult economic times, companies need to be more prudent than ever when allocating their resources. If you ask me, any speculation and hype about dot-brand being the wave of the future sounds an awful lot like the speculation and hype that surrounded the IPOs that cropped up in the late 90s…and look at how that ended up.

Over 300 stocks became listed in 1999 — more IPOs than ever before. Brokers recklessly pumped up most of these stocks because they earned huge fees by selling them. Investors bought them and more sank than sailed after the bubble burst. Now, as the domain market heats up, will there be another bubble?

There are 300 new TLDs expected in 2009. If past TLD expansions are any indication, sunrise periods tend to be hyped and driven by registry operators who hope to create enough momentum to garner instant profitability for their new extension and registrars that make millions in year one and earn renewal fees for as long as companies retain domains to protect their interests.

Let’s take a look at the numbers. If a brand owner defensively registers just one name in each of the expected 300 new TLDs at $500 per domain, the costs could add up to around $150,000. Brand owners who have more than one “crown jewel” and register defensively in all extensions could face much greater expenses. Even if a company participated in just 20 percent of the new TLDs (assuming the estimated costs are similar to past TLD sunrise periods) and registered their “top 10” list in each, they’d face $300,000 in new costs for “defensive” domains.

It is important to consider the pros, cons and other implications of the advent of these new TLDs now, since many in the domain name industry have already begun to set things in motion. For example, one company recently hosted a webinar on a potential new TLD for Deloitte, a company that is the main agent hired by new registries to validate domain applications filed in most of the recent TLDs.

Brand owners should be ready to critically examine decisions that are made in the space with regards to new TLDs; this way, when the time comes for a brand to decide what their role is, they’ll be able to discern what is best for their company and the Internet community from what will simply serve parties contracted by ICANN and other domain-industry players.

Is it time for brands to adapt their strategies to the onslaught of new TLDs, or can the Internet community band together to prevent too many new TLDs from being launched?

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Great thoughts from everyone.

Great thoughts from everyone. I don't know if ICANN is supporting this from a funding perspective or on good faith to advance domain practices - regardless I believe there is an evaluation process for all new TLDs that is supposed to be very strict. Is this "hoopla" or fact?

NEW TLDs

Forgive me for being sassy, but Rebecca stole my word for the week, "kerfluffle". While we all take the time to reassess why we are in business, perhaps ICANN should take the time to reassess its acronym...I suggest, SNAFU. If some good can come out of this, I look forward to seeing it.

New TLDs

The analogy to the 1999 IPOs is well taken. There is a lot of kerfuffle over these new TLDs with no discussion on the return. How is multiplying the URL space going to do anything but fragment direct navigation traffic? The business model for cybersquatting can't help but change.

One of the changes I see is that search will become more important and direct navigation less so. Cybersquatters typically have poor landing pages on their illicit domains and won't be able to rank high enough to capture traffic. The investments required in content and skill to rank will make their return poorer across many domains. Also, it takes much longer for new domains versus established domains to achieve a visible rank.

If cybersquatters can't make money from their domains and have to pay for renewals each year, their business quickly becomes less attractive. The new TLDs could be doing brand owners an unintended favor. It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.

New TLDs

Despite all the talk of private TLDs heraliding Web 3.0 with new marketing opportunities, I have yet to hear anyone explain what those opportunities are and how brand owners may benefit.

New TLDs

The launch of new TLDs seems to serve not real purpose but to raise money for ICANN while putting an enormous cost burden on trademark holders to secure domains for their key marks. At the same time it exponentially opens up the possibility for cybersquatting and the cost for policing.

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